Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.058480 0.066254 0.074184 0.082849 0.092021 0.101414 0.111735
2025-10-12 0.044954 0.056224 0.068277 0.081991 0.097038 0.112935 0.130892
2025-10-19 0.037338 0.050840 0.065854 0.083479 0.103325 0.124744 0.149386
2025-10-26 0.031091 0.045961 0.063109 0.083796 0.107602 0.133742 0.164248
2025-11-02 0.026766 0.042710 0.061709 0.085169 0.112651 0.143243 0.179342
2025-11-09 0.022661 0.039206 0.059591 0.085340 0.116012 0.150583 0.191783
2025-11-16 0.018042 0.034476 0.055540 0.082832 0.115932 0.153735 0.199246
2025-11-23 0.014242 0.030359 0.051892 0.080504 0.115808 0.156623 0.206218
2025-11-30 0.012318 0.028654 0.051186 0.081679 0.119765 0.164168 0.218462
2025-12-07 0.010827 0.027403 0.050953 0.083351 0.124246 0.172268 0.231300
2025-12-14 0.009853 0.026833 0.051567 0.086049 0.129940 0.181770 0.245746
2025-12-21 0.008470 0.025409 0.050880 0.086970 0.133373 0.188535 0.256954
2025-12-28 0.008736 0.026930 0.054527 0.093800 0.144429 0.204718 0.279590
2026-01-04 0.006910 0.024514 0.052400 0.092924 0.145822 0.209327 0.288651
2026-01-11 0.005916 0.023457 0.052169 0.094520 0.150288 0.217612 0.302040
2026-01-18 0.004783 0.021903 0.051072 0.094859 0.153097 0.223847 0.312964
2026-01-25 0.004019 0.020964 0.050837 0.096325 0.157309 0.231763 0.325869
2026-02-01 0.003142 0.019541 0.049732 0.096508 0.159810 0.237544 0.336187
2026-02-08 0.002016 0.017054 0.046704 0.093830 0.158474 0.238508 0.340639
2026-02-15 0.001179 0.014837 0.043910 0.091342 0.157283 0.239573 0.345144
2026-02-22 0.000870 0.014167 0.043718 0.092599 0.161021 0.246750 0.357028
2026-03-01 0.000655 0.013729 0.043901 0.094385 0.165452 0.254785 0.369951
2026-03-08 0.000547 0.013704 0.044821 0.097265 0.171347 0.264659 0.385114